REGIONAL CONFLICT
Updates on Shipping and Air Freight Disruptions

OPERATIONAL STATUS OF MAJOR SHIPPING CORRIDORS

Current Situation:

  • Major carriers continue to suspend Red Sea operations; rerouting via the Cape of Good Hope remains standard.
  • Suez Canal and Strait of Hormuz transits are mostly avoided due to ongoing regional conflict.

Implications:

  • Transit Extensions: Europe–Asia voyages remain substantially longer, affecting schedules.
  • Capacity Contraction: Slower vessel turnaround reduces available slots at origin ports.
  • Route Diversion: European and Asian gateway ports continue to experience congestion.

FREIGHT RATE VOLATILITY & CONTRACTUAL ADJUSTMENTS 

Market Response:

  • Freight rates remain elevated and volatile.
  • MSC: Long-term contracts are being renegotiated; FAK adjustments and NAC restrictions persist
  • Maersk: MSC, Maersk, CMA CGM, and Hapag-Lloyd maintain rerouted services with risk-based surcharges.

Contractual Implications:

  • NAC Restrictions: NShippers face higher allocations costs; war-risk premiums and emergency surcharges continue.

ESCALATION OF OPERATIONAL EXPENDITURES 

Additional Costs:

  • War risk premiums rising (≥0.25% of vessel replacement value).
  • Bunker Adjustment Factor (BAF) increasing with Brent crude prices
  • Emergency surcharges for port congestion and rerouting widespread.

Impact:

  • Higher per-container or per-tonne charges; careful contract management required..

SUPPLY CHAIN EFFICIENCY & EQUIPMENT AVAILABILITY

Operational Challenges:

  • Port congestion in alternate hubs continues
  • Empty container shortages in Asia remain due to delayed vessel returns
  • SCFI indicates freight rates may rise further.

AVIATION SITUATION: AIRSPACE CLOSURES & FLIGHT DISRUPTIONS

Current status:

  • Airspace closures continue over Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Israel, Bahrain, Qatar, UAE.
  • Thousands of flights delayed or canceled; Dubai and Doha hubs heavily impacted.

Operational Implications:

  • Long-haul flights rerouted; extended transit times and higher fuel/operational costs.
  • Air cargo schedules remain disrupted, compounding supply chain delays.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

  • Global Logistics Disruption: Maritime and air routes still constrained; transit times extended.
  • Strategic Planning Required: Alternative routing, contract adjustments, and equipment management essential.
  • Volatile Market Rates: Rates and surcharges remain unpredictable.
  • Communication: Regular updates and proactive engagement with carriers and freight forwarders are critical.